Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 6, 2027
River flow5.16 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/06 average
5.16 ft; discharge 6,096 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 33°F · 0.05" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/06 average: 68° / 33°F · 0.05" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/06 average: 69° / 42°F · 0.15" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/06 average: 77° / 46°F · 0.04" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/06 average: 73% of peak melted · 12.4 in SWE
Lottery odds3.88% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/06 launch
3.88%
2.2× season avg 1.79% (+2.09 pts)
First-choice applications
103
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.