Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 9, 2027
River flow4.76 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/09 average
4.76 ft; discharge 5,294 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 33°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/09 average: 96% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/09 average: 68° / 33°F · 0.02" · 17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/09 average: 68° / 39°F · 0.10" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/09 average: 73° / 46°F · 0.04" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/09 average: 96% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/09 average: 78% of peak melted · 10.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.64% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/09 launch
1.64%
8% below season avg 1.79% (−0.15 pts)
First-choice applications
244
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.