Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 10, 2027
River flow4.63 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/10 average
4.63 ft; discharge 4,982 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 66° / 33°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/10 average: 97% of peak melted · 1.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/10 average: 66° / 33°F · 0.03" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/10 average: 67° / 40°F · 0.06" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/10 average: 76° / 46°F · 0.06" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/10 average: 97% of peak melted · 1.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/10 average: 80% of peak melted · 9.6 in SWE
Lottery odds2.13% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/10 launch
2.13%
1.2× season avg 1.79% (+0.34 pts)
First-choice applications
188
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.