Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 11, 2027
River flow4.49 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/11 average
4.49 ft; discharge 4,690 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 63° / 32°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/11 average: 97% of peak melted · 0.9 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/11 average: 63° / 32°F · 0.04" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/11 average: 65° / 39°F · 0.13" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/11 average: 72° / 44°F · 0.05" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/11 average: 97% of peak melted · 0.9 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/11 average: 81% of peak melted · 8.9 in SWE
Lottery odds2.19% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/11 launch
2.19%
1.2× season avg 1.79% (+0.40 pts)
First-choice applications
183
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.