Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 14, 2027
River flow4.26 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/14 average
4.26 ft; discharge 4,298 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 32°F · 0.01" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/14 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.8 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/14 average: 68° / 32°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/14 average: 74° / 41°F · 0.02" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/14 average: 77° / 45°F · 0.03" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/14 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.8 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/14 average: 86% of peak melted · 6.7 in SWE
Lottery odds3.10% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/14 launch
3.10%
1.7× season avg 1.79% (+1.31 pts)
First-choice applications
129
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.