Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 16, 2027
River flow4.11 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/16 average
4.11 ft; discharge 3,986 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 67° / 31°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/16 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/16 average: 67° / 31°F · 0.04" · 17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/16 average: 74° / 42°F · 0.06" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/16 average: 75° / 44°F · 0.09" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/16 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/16 average: 89% of peak melted · 5.4 in SWE
Lottery odds1.15% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/16 launch
1.15%
36% below season avg 1.79% (−0.64 pts)
First-choice applications
348
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.