Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 17, 2027
River flow4.06 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/17 average
4.06 ft; discharge 3,878 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 31°F · 0.10" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/17 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/17 average: 68° / 31°F · 0.10" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/17 average: 73° / 43°F · 0.04" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/17 average: 74° / 46°F · 0.11" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/17 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/17 average: 90% of peak melted · 4.9 in SWE
Lottery odds1.56% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/17 launch
1.56%
13% below season avg 1.79% (−0.23 pts)
First-choice applications
256
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.