Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 19, 2027
River flow3.94 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/19 average
3.94 ft; discharge 3,640 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 69° / 31°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/19 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.4 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/19 average: 69° / 31°F · 0.02" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/19 average: 73° / 41°F · 0.00" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/19 average: 75° / 45°F · 0.03" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/19 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.4 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/19 average: 92% of peak melted · 3.9 in SWE
Lottery odds1.51% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/19 launch
1.51%
16% below season avg 1.79% (−0.28 pts)
First-choice applications
265
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.