Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 20, 2027
River flow3.86 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/20 average
3.86 ft; discharge 3,522 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 30°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/20 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/20 average: 68° / 30°F · 0.02" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/20 average: 73° / 40°F · 0.02" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/20 average: 76° / 45°F · 0.04" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/20 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/20 average: 94% of peak melted · 3.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.32% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/20 launch
1.32%
26% below season avg 1.79% (−0.47 pts)
First-choice applications
304
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.