Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 21, 2027
River flow3.82 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/21 average
3.82 ft; discharge 3,468 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 69° / 31°F · 0.05" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/21 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/21 average: 69° / 31°F · 0.05" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/21 average: 75° / 42°F · 0.03" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/21 average: 74° / 45°F · 0.05" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/21 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/21 average: 94% of peak melted · 2.9 in SWE
Lottery odds1.79% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/21 launch
1.79%
Same as season avg 1.79%
First-choice applications
223
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.