Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 22, 2027
River flow3.78 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/22 average
3.78 ft; discharge 3,391 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 71° / 32°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/22 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/22 average: 71° / 32°F · 0.02" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/22 average: 80° / 43°F · 0.02" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/22 average: 78° / 46°F · 0.04" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/22 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/22 average: 95% of peak melted · 2.6 in SWE
Lottery odds1.04% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/22 launch
1.04%
42% below season avg 1.79% (−0.75 pts)
First-choice applications
384
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.