Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 25, 2027
River flow3.56 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/25 average
3.56 ft; discharge 3,021 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 33°F · 0.01" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/25 average: 74° / 33°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/25 average: 82° / 43°F · 0.00" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/25 average: 82° / 48°F · 0.01" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/25 average: 97% of peak melted · 1.7 in SWE
Lottery odds0.89% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/25 launch
0.89%
50% below season avg 1.79% (−0.90 pts)
First-choice applications
451
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.