Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 27, 2027
River flow3.45 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/27 average
3.45 ft; discharge 2,812 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 75° / 35°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/27 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/27 average: 75° / 35°F · 0.04" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/27 average: 80° / 43°F · 0.01" · 6 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/27 average: 83° / 50°F · 0.02" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/27 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/27 average: 98% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Lottery odds1.16% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/27 launch
1.16%
35% below season avg 1.79% (−0.63 pts)
First-choice applications
431
Private launches available
5
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.