Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 30, 2027
River flow3.24 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/30 average
3.24 ft; discharge 2,498 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 77° / 36°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/30 average: 77° / 36°F · 0.03" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/30 average: 86° / 48°F · 0.03" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/30 average: 86° / 52°F · 0.03" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/30 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.8 in SWE
Lottery odds0.35% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/30 launch
0.35%
80% below season avg 1.79% (−1.44 pts)
First-choice applications
570
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.