Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 20, 2027
River flow2.26 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
07/20 average
2.26 ft; discharge 1,169 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 82° / 34°F · 0.01" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/20 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
07/20 average: 82° / 34°F · 0.01" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
07/20 average: 88° / 48°F · 0.00" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
07/20 average: 90° / 52°F · 0.00" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/20 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/20 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.20% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/20 launch
1.20%
33% below season avg 1.79% (−0.59 pts)
First-choice applications
249
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.