Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 9, 2027
River flow1.94 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
08/09 average
1.94 ft; discharge 849 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 77° / 35°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
08/09 average: 77° / 35°F · 0.04" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
08/09 average: 84° / 48°F · 0.03" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
08/09 average: 82° / 50°F · 0.01" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds9.38% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/09 launch
9.38%
5.2× season avg 1.79% (+7.59 pts)
First-choice applications
32
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.