Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, September 3, 2027
River flow1.71 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
09/03 average
1.71 ft; discharge 648 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 79° / 30°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
09/03 average: 79° / 30°F · 0.03" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
09/03 average: 82° / 38°F · 0.01" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
09/03 average: 83° / 45°F · 0.01" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds4.44% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 09/03 launch
4.44%
2.5× season avg 1.79% (+2.65 pts)
First-choice applications
45
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.