Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 11, 2027
River flow1.68 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
10/11 average
1.68 ft; discharge 628 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 59° / 23°F · 0.12" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/11 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
10/11 average: 59° / 23°F · 0.12" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
10/11 average: 60° / 32°F · 0.06" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
10/11 average: 62° / 33°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/11 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/11 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.